第1章 绪论 ····11.1 统计学的基本问题 ·····11.1.1 统计的含义 ······11.1.2 统计学的研究对象及特点 ····21.1.3 统计学的研究方法 ·····31.2 统计学的基本概念 ·····51.2.1 统计总体与总体单位 ····51.2.2 统计标志与变量 ············61.2.3 统计指标与指标体系 ····71.3 Excel系统介绍 ·········101.3.1 Excel的启动与退出 ·····101.3.2 Excel工作界面 ·············111.3.3 Excel统计功能简介 ·····13本章小结 ···········15思考与练习 ·······16第2章 统计数据的收集、整理与显示 ····················172.1 统计数据的收集 ·······172.1.1 统计数据收集的含义 ··172.1.2 统计数据的收集方法 ··192.1.3 统计数据的收集方式 ··212.1.4 统计数据的收集方案 ··242.1.5 统计调查问卷 ··············252.2 统计数据的整理 ·······272.2.1 统计数据整理的内容 ··272.2.2 统计分组 ········282.2.3 频数分布 ········332.3 统计数据的显示 ·······36目 录VI 统计学2.3.1 统计表 ··· 362.3.2 统计图 ··· 392.4 Excel在统计数据整理与显示中的应用 ················ 412.4.1 统计数据的预处理 ······ 412.4.2 统计数据的分组整理 ·· 442.4.3 统计制图 ········ 48本章小结 ··········· 51思考与练习 ······· 52第3章 统计数据分布特征的测度 ····························· 533.1 集中趋势的测度 ······· 543.1.1 算术平均数 ···· 543.1.2 调和平均数 ···· 553.1.3 几何平均数 ···· 573.1.4 中位数 ··· 583.1.5 众数 ······· 603.1.6 各测度指标的比较 ······ 613.2 离散程度的测度 ······· 623.2.1 极差 ······· 623.2.2 平均差 ··· 623.2.3 标准差和方差 ·············· 643.2.4 离散系数 ········ 653.3 偏态与峰度的测度 ··· 663.3.1 统计动差 ········ 663.3.2 偏态及其测度 ·············· 673.3.3 峰度及其测度 ·············· 683.4 Excel在数据测度中的应用 ···································· 693.4.1 未分组数据的计算 ······ 693.4.2 已分组数据的计算 ······ 703.4.3 常用的功能函数 ·········· 71本章小结 ··········· 73思考与练习 ······· 73第4章 抽样与抽样分布 ························· 754.1 抽样及抽样方法 ······· 754.1.1 抽样的相关概念 ·········· 754.1.2 基本的抽样方法 ·········· 77目 录VII4.2 抽样的组织方式 ······· 784.2.1 简单随机抽样 ·············· 784.2.2 等距抽样 ········ 794.2.3 类型抽样 ········ 804.2.4 整群抽样 ········ 814.2.5 多阶段抽样 ···· 814.3 抽样分布 ····· 824.3.1 样本平均数的抽样分布 ······························· 824.3.2 样本比率的抽样分布 ·· 854.4 Excel中的抽样与抽样分布工具使用 ············· 874.4.1 随机抽样 ········ 874.4.2 抽样分布模拟 ·············· 88本章小结 ··········· 90思考与练习 ······· 90第5章 参数估计 ········ 915.1 参数估计的基本问题 ·················· 925.1.1 参数估计的相关概念 ·· 925.1.2 参数估计的相关理论 ·· 935.1.3 参数估计的优良标准 ·· 975.2 一个总体参数的区间估计 ············ 985.2.1 总体平均数的区间估计 ···································· 985.2.2 总体比率的区间估计 ·································1005.3 两个总体参数的区间估计 ··························· 1005.3.1 两个总体平均数差异的区间估计 ····························1005.3.2 两个总体比率差异的区间估计 ·····························1035.4 样本容量的确定 ····· 1045.4.1 影响样本容量的因素 ··································1045.4.2 总体平均数估计时样本容量的确定 ·······················1055.4.3 总体比率估计时样本容量的确定 ··························1065.5 利用Excel进行区间估计 ······························· 1065.5.1 利用正态分布计算平均数的置信区间 ·························1075.5.2 利用t分布计算平均数的置信区间 ·······················1075.5.3 比率的区间估计 ········1095.5.4 样本容量的确定 ········ 110本章小结 ········· 110思考与练习 ····· 110VIII 统计学第6章 假设检验 ·······1136.1　假设检验的基本问题 ····················· 1136.1.1　假设检验的基本思想 ························ 1146.1.2 假设检验的基本类型 ········· 1156.1.3 假设检验的基本步骤 ········ 1166.1.4 假设检验的两类错误 ················· 1176.2 一个总体参数的检验 ························· 1186.2.1 总体平均数的检验 ···· 1186.2.2 总体比率的检验 ········1206.2.3 总体方差的检验 ········1206.3　两个总体参数的检验 ·················· 1226.3.1 两个总体平均数之差的检验 ····················1226.3.2 两个总体比率之差的检验 ··························1266.3.3 两个总体方差比的检验 ··································1266.4 假设检验中的其他问题 ··································· 1286.4.1 区间估计与假设检验的关系 ···································1286.4.2 利用P值进行决策 ·····1296.5 利用Excel进行假设检验 ····························· 1296.5.1 一个正态总体的参数检验 ······························1306.5.2 双样本的平均数检验 ···················132本章小结 ·········135思考与练习 ·····135第7章 相关与回归分析 ························ 1407.1 相关与回归分析概述 ···································· 1407.1.1 函数关系与相关关系 ····························1417.1.2 相关关系的种类 ········1427.1.3 相关分析的内容 ········1447.1.4 回归分析的内容及种类 ························1457.1.5 相关分析与回归分析的联系与区别 ···················1457.2 简单线性相关与一元线性回归分析 ···················· 1467.2.1 相关表与相关图 ········1467.2.2 相关系数及检验 ········1487.2.3 一元线性回归分析 ····1537.3 多元线性回归分析 ··········· 1637.3.1 多元线性回归模型及参数估计 ···········1637.3.2 多元线性回归模型的检验 ····························164目 录IX7.3.3 复相关系数和偏相关系数 ················1667.4 Excel中的线性回归分析 ······························ 1687.4.1 利用Excel进行相关分析 ·····························1687.4.2　利用Excel进行回归分析 ··································170本章小结 ·········177思考与练习 ·····178第8章 时间序列分析与预测 ························ 1818.1 时间序列的对比分析 ···································· 1828.1.1 时间序列的含义 ········1828.1.2 时间序列的水平分析 ······································1858.1.3 时间序列的速度分析 ·····································1908.1.4 对比分析中应注意的问题 ····························1968.2 时间序列的构成分析 ······························ 1978.2.1 时间序列的构成因素及组合模型 ···················1978.2.2 长期趋势的测定与分析 ········1988.2.3 季节变动的测定与分析 ························2028.2.4 循环变动和不规则变动的测定 ·····························2068.3 时间序列的预测方法 ·································· 2088.3.1 趋势外推预测 ············2088.3.2 移动平均预测 ············ 2118.3.3 指数平滑预测 ············2128.4 利用Excel进行时间序列分析与预测 ··········· 2148.4.1 计算发展水平指标与发展速度指标 ······························2148.4.2 用Excel进行时间序列的构成分析 ··············2158.4.3 用Excel进行时间序列预测 ··········218本章小结 ·········223思考与练习 ·····223第9章 指数分析 ······ 2259.1 指数的概念、分类及作用 ····················· 2259.1.1 指数的概念 ··2259.1.2 指数的分类及作用 ····2279.2 指数的编制方法 ····· 2299.2.1 综合指数的编制方法 ··································2299.2.2 平均指数的编制方法 ······························2339.3 指数体系与因素分析 ······························ 235X 统计学9.3.1 指数体系及其作用 ····2359.3.2 总量指标的因素分析 ·····························2369.4 几种常用的经济指数 ····························· 2399.4.1 居民消费价格指数 ····2399.4.2 工业生产指数 ············2409.4.3 股票价格指数 ············2409.5 利用Excel进行指数计算和因素分析 ················ 2439.5.1 用Excel计算总指数 ···2439.5.2 用Excel计算平均指数 ······························2449.5.3 用Excel进行因素分析 ························245本章小结 ·········246思考与练习 ·····246第10章 统计综合分析 ································· 24910.1 统计综合分析的基本问题 ·························· 24910.1.1 统计综合分析的概念和作用 ···························24910.1.2 统计综合分析的步骤 ······························25310.1.3 统计综合分析的局限性 ·······································25510.2 统计综合分析的方法 ·································· 25510.2.1 对比分析法 ··············25510.2.2 综合评价法 ··············25910.3 统计分析报告 ······· 26110.3.1 统计分析报告的概念和作用 ································26110.3.2 统计分析报告的种类 ······························26210.3.3 统计分析报告的选题与基本要求 ···························265本章小结 ·········269思考与练习 ·····269附录 ··· 270参考文献 ····· 276